General Wellness

The emperor has no clothes!!

Andrew Chuma No Comments

Loosening mask mandates as case numbers are on the rise? Whose brilliant idea is this?

Imagine if this present day situation developed 2 years ago, before the pandemic. A virus pops up in the US, which infects millions of people. Most get through it like a cold, or maybe even without any significant symptoms at all. But some people get pretty sick, leading to some pretty nasty long term health effects. Some get so sick that they even die, as many as 100,000 people. We would be freaking out. But in the present pandemic world, it’s nothing more than an inconvenience!

The number of new Covid cases rose by 40% nationally over the last week and the hospitalization rate has stopped dropping. 85% of the cases are from the omicron BA-2 subvariant.  That, along with the dwindling full vaccination numbers and insane decision to continue to loosen mask mandates in enclosed, packed public places is a recipe for a disastrous few months. Although BA-2 causes less severe disease, again, it’s about the numbers. A small percentage of a big number is still a big number. BA-2 is responsible for over 100,000 deaths in the US alone. And overall, we are fast approaching 1 million deaths.

And that 40% case rate rise quoted above is a vast underestimation, given the fact that most people are testing at home and those cases go unreported. The estimate is that the new case load is 4x greater than what we know about. And you can bet that there are plenty of people who test positive at home, but ignore it and continue to go out and be among other people, spreading this disease.

Of the known reported cases, 3% were completely asymptomatic. So that means that if you’re in a room with 100 people, at least 3 of them are for sure infected and shedding virus without knowing it. And for a virus more than 10x more infectious than the original version, that is very concerning. You can easily approach 100 people on a subway car or plane and half that on a public bus.

The argument that “it’s up to you whether you want to wear a mask or not, to make the best decision for yourself” is selfish and narrow minded. You are also making a decision for all those around you since you may be making them sick as well. Remember that this virus spreads just by breathing.

We may be done with this pandemic, but it is not done with us. We need to continue to be vigilant. Not only to protect those in our society who are more vulnerable, but for everyone else as well.

Your best and most effective line of defense is still to get vaccinated and boosted. If it’s been more than 4 months after your second dose, or first J&J dose, you need the third or second shot. If it’s been more than 4 months since your third shot, and you are eligible, get the 4th shot. Studies clearly show that the additional boosters significantly improve protection, not necessarily from getting infected, but certainly from getting sick and/or dying.

Masks without question have their issues. Quality matters. How you wear it matters. The best is a well fitting N95 or KN95 (or equivalent). However, if nothing else, even a doily worn under the chin is a physical reminder that we are still in a pandemic and we need to be careful. Not wearing anything makes people much more comfortable and less vigilant.

Please don’t get too comfortable. A newer, more concerning variant is just around the corner!

Pray for Ukraine.

🇺🇦 Слава Україні 🌻🇺🇦 

Stay safe and be well.

AC

ANOTHER HOLIDAY. ANOTHER OPPORTUNITY TO CELEBRATE AND SHOW YOU CARE.

Andrew Chuma No Comments

Easter and Passover are upon us. Another opportunity to celebrate life, faith and get together with family and friends. We certainly need all of those things to get through all the stresses of life. Sadly, with Covid numbers on the rise, this is also an opportunity to spread a disease which is be dangerous, especially to our less healthy and elderly family members and friends.

This newest variant, BA-2, may cause a much more mild form of Covid-19, but it is not completely innocuous and it is much more infectious. Twice as infectious as the previous variant which was 5x more infectious than the one before that and ~ 10x more than the original form from 2 years ago. The virus is evolving. As I have said in many posts, it is all about the numbers. A small percentage of a big number is still a big number. Some people are still getting very sick and many are still dying from Covid. As of yesterday, there were just over 1000 daily deaths from Covid in the US. This is still significant when you consider that about 1600 people die every day from cancer and 1800 die daily from cardiovascular disease. This infection which did not even exist 2 years ago remains one of the top killers today. 

Those impacted the most by Covid remain the unvaccinated, or not fully vaccinated or boosted. That is clear from worldwide data.

Although it is never too late to get vaccinated, as far as this upcoming weekend is concerned, the opportunity is lost. You need 2 weeks for the full effect. However, you can still do things to protect everyone. 

TEST, TEST, TEST! Even if you have no symptoms, it is a cheap and easy way to make sure you are safe to be around others, especially those who are at risk. You might be disappointed by the results, but staying away if you are positive is the right thing to do.

VENTILATE. Keep windows and doors open to ensure some airflow. It should be a decent weekend so most of us should be able to accomplish this.

DISTANCE and MASK. This may not be necessary if everyone at a gathering tests beforehand, but there will be those who don’t want to test. You may also be attending services where there are large groups of people and you don’t know about everyone else’s practices. Do not feel bullied or embarrassed into doing what you feel is comfortable for you or everyone else. I still can’t go into just about any public place without a mask.

Enjoy your families and friends this weekend. 

Please get vaccinated and boosted. Remember that if it has been 6 months since your last dose, you are not well protected. Technically you are “fully vaccinated” but practically, you’re not.

🇺🇦 Слава Україні 🌻🇺🇦 (Glory to Ukraine)

Stay safe and be well.

AC

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